Silicon Investor (SI) -- The First Internet Community

STOCKTALK

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor. We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community. If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.

Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: TobagoJack who wrote (10113)	10/15/2006 12:06:25 AM
From: elmatador	Read Replies (3) \| Respond to of 218408

TJ, there’s never been in history a post wealth country. The US is the first and that newness of this fact makes people think: what happens to a country when it passes its prime? The only comparison we have are the empires that went down. But those don’t serve us well. That because the empires went down because the sources they sucked their strengths dried out, or they were just kicked out by other raising powers. The US today’s case is unique. We don’t know into what it is going to turn to. Japan is well ahead of the US in terms of shrinking. It just takes the money ad lends since it knows this helps Japan’s case. It accepts the inevitable that China is going to make it a pigmy. The Europeans -ah the Europeans!- they just know that this is another turn of history’s wheel and, like a cat, they will always fall on the four feet, as it happened before, not matter how they are thrown around. Now you have: The US, the first major power to shrink to its natural size in the whole human history. The US is too costly, internally, due to Washington’s power and externally, due to over reach, to maintain. The Europeans used to shift its color to match the new environment and Japan managing their return to insignificance. Lots of other countries want to take that seat up there; China, Russia… They have the delirium of grandeur of being a major power, perhaps, there won’t be a major power that could amass such power as the US did There will be several pockets of "power", here and there. China can’t be major power - in the sense the US post WWII was- because it needs to accommodate the Africans, Latin Americans, and Middle Easterners for its raw materials. Can’t do like the British and just suck from colonies, or US that had itself and Canada riding its coat tail supplying what it needed. Russia? Russia sees the Europeans, trying to keep the share of world’s wealth, as allied on its quest to be a great power. Europeans most likely will use Russia to keep their share. Russia joining the EU is on the cards. India, Brazil and South Africa will trot on the road shoulder trying to get critical mass because they know they can be trampled by a Mafiosi like group of countries ganging together. They know the harm a Bretton Woods type of arrangement can do. Places like Africa and the Middle East and here in South west Asia plus Caucasus (Iran, Pakistan) will only make trouble to be noted. There we have the players and the script. Let it play on… It will be nice to watch. .

To: TobagoJack who wrote (10113)	10/15/2006 1:54:07 AM
From: energyplay	Read Replies (3) \| Respond to of 218408

Orange Revolution - Interesting that Russia put missles in Cuba as a counter weight to US missles in Cuba. Today, the Russians have Lativia, Lithuania, Estonia, and Poland in NATO. Georgia, Moldova are edging out of the Russian orbit, and Ukraine wobbles a lot. Many members of the EU are afraid of Russia, or want revenge for the Soviet occupation. Many people in Chezkoslovakia, Poland, and Hungary are quite happy to see the Russian empire ripped into little pieces. The late Edward Teller is an example of this. It will be another 10-15 years before the victims of the Soviet Empire leave power in Eastern Europe.