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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: westpacific who wrote (72174)	10/17/2006 5:05:17 AM
From: Real Man	Read Replies (3) \| Respond to of 110194

All-time high for the DOW does not feel like an October crash. Rather, it feels like 1999. Eventually, you could be right, unless the dollar crashes (I expect that) and we have hyperinflation due to foreigners selling dollars and our debt. Hyperinflation is much worse than deflation that happened in the 30-s. Stocks will go up in dollar terms These markets can remain irrational a lot longer than a bear can remain solvent. -g- I expect the Fed and minions will support the stock market through SP futures until the confidence in the dollar evaporates. So far, the dollar is holding up, and the bond market is holding its ground. So, no crash for now. Watch Yen and 10-year rates before the crisis. Yen should surge, and so should the rates. JMHO. Until then, as Russ says, Wash, Rinse, Repeat. It's a costly mistake to think this Fed will not unleash the full power of the printing press on these markets, should they fall just a little bit. Boomers pensions are in these markets. The government does not want to be responsible for paying these.