To: Road Walker who wrote (307087 ) 10/21/2006 5:24:39 PM From: tejek Respond to of 1573530 Listening to political commentary coming into work this morning. They are saying the Reps are almost sure to lose the house, and probably 4 Senate seats. The 3 seats that would then determine who controls the Senate are Virginia, Tennessee and Missouri that the Dems would have to get 2 of 3. Reps have a slight lead in 2 of the 3. Depending on which poll you look at......the GOP has the lead in all three races. I think the only one where the Dems have a chance is in MO. Talent is against stem cell research and Missourians are for it. McCaskill also polls well in the cities of Kansas City and St. Louis which play an important role in who gets elected in MO. I don't think Ford will win in TN because I don't think Tennessee is ready to elect the first black senator from the South since Reconstruction even if he reflects the conservative values of the South.....which Ford does. And on paper Webb is much better than Allen but Allen has that good ole boy thing down pat. Webb comes off a little geeky. I figure after all the crap that has come out on Allen, Corker and Foley, and the polls still are showing them ahead, I don't see how things will change much between now and Nov. 7th. And this leads to another problem the Dems have.......the South is growing and has a large population base. The Dems have to become like a Ford or Nelson to win in the South. You yourself have said you are not happy about voting for Nelson and I would not like voting for a Ford. Therein lies the dilemma.......if you operate one way in the South and another way in the rest of the country, you become a two tiered party making a national platform difficult, or you cede the South to the GOP and we've seen how dangerous that is. You can't always count on the GOP being corrupt. The GOP was successful in 2000 because they were able to capitalize on voter unhappiness with Clinton which allowed them to grab votes in states outside the South like ID, Utah, AZ and Colorado......fast growing places with decent sized populations........even a place like MN. It would seem those same places are now starting to swing back to the Dems, allowing them to get a small edge. We clearly are a nation divided and I don't see it getting resolved any time soon. In fact, I still think we will end up splitting in half.