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Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: TobagoJack who wrote (10344)	10/20/2006 11:45:28 PM
From: Maurice Winn	Respond to of 217936

TJ, Each to their own opinion. <i suggest your data points, one is correct, and the other wrong, both as to memory and as to validity> The information is sitting there in SI if you want history. But really, it doesn't matter what you did think then, so much as what you think now. Because what you think now determines what you do next, not what you thought previously. Which suggests that your first idea that the future is unpredictable is more correct than your second, which is that the future is inevitable and predictable. Ironically, the acceptance of the idea of unpredictability rather than inevitability, makes the idea of inevitability more realistic, because by realizing the future is not inevitable, people set about creating the future that they want, which ironically, by their efforts, makes it inevitable - if they do it right. And it's a competition to see who can correctly predict the unpredictable and create the inevitable. <now, it is never the less true that your predictions are more faulty, and my not as much so. why is that?> That is because you want it to be so. You are more aware of your correct predictions than mine, because you value your own correct predictions much more than mine, which is a good idea. One's own decisions are vastly more important to one's life than some bloke's on the other end of cyberspace. Not to mention the old ego, self-importance bias business = "Nyah, nyah, I'm better than you". I'm not aware of an SI scoreboard for quality control of predictive ability. Mqurice