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To: Henry J Costanzo who wrote (137739)	10/21/2006 3:42:32 PM
From: skinowski	Respond to of 209892

No comments? Hmm... Would be interesting. But anyway, this sudden collapse in the red line after the discovery of Foley's flirtations was a little overdone. Generally, strong markets running up to an election is a good thing for the incumbents.

To: Henry J Costanzo who wrote (137739)	10/21/2006 4:11:08 PM
From: The Freep	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 209892

OT -- Admittedly, at least they are focusing on a clear statistic that isn't open to data-massaging. And it is also one that intuitively makes a lot of sense. But it strikes me as one that is also somewhat self-selecting, particularly this year as we read about different parties debating whether to spend money in different races based on what they view as the chances of winning. If it were as clear as the bigger warchest, then the party/national committees wouldn't have to think twice. So again, it's not quite as cut and dried in my mind. We COULD of course, argue Barron's point that "conventional wisdom" said what they claim it said, but that'd be a different point entirely (though one they've set themselves up for by claiming a kind of superiority). I must admit, though, that I enjoy the e-wave analysis of the Iowa contract, because we all are well aware that it has absolutely no bearing on anything. And it's way more fun having "political" conversations that aren't about politics!