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Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: KyrosL who wrote (10448)	10/23/2006 11:35:57 AM
From: elmatador	Respond to of 217896

Next two decades: demography will be top of all agendas. Everything will frame under the perspective of demographics

To: KyrosL who wrote (10448)	10/23/2006 12:06:00 PM
From: foundation	Respond to of 217896

re: There are a few facts ---------- ... what a pleasant rabbit hole you inhabit, said Alice. Pity there's not room for us all!

To: KyrosL who wrote (10448)	10/23/2006 12:54:01 PM
From: Riskmgmt	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 217896

Hello KyrosL; re: There are a few facts you should take into account regarding resources 1. The human population is peaking. Not sure this is a "fact" checking some sources; earth-policy.org U.N. projections of world population growth show several potential trajectories. The low-fertility scenario has population peaking at 7.5 billion by 2040 and then falling to 7.4 billion in 2050. The medium-growth scenario has the world hitting 8.9 billion by mid-century, with growth slowing until population peaks at 9.2 billion around 2075. The high-growth variant brings us to 10.6 billion by 2050 and 14 billion by the end of the century. (See Figure 8.) earth-policy.org Some 36 countries now have populations that are either stable or declining slowly. All are in Europe, except Japan. In countries with the lowest fertility rates, including Japan, Russia, Germany, and Italy, populations will actually decline over the next half-century. But other countries are projected to more than double their populations by then, including Pakistan, Nigeria, and Ethiopia. India, growing at nearly 2 percent a year, is projected to reach 1.5 billion people by 2050, adding 515 million in just 50 years—roughly twice as many people as currently live in the United States. Well before then it will become the world's most populous country.2 I guess one could argue that the developed countries are the ones using the majority of resources like oil and so we could see some slow down in usage there but India and Pakistan should more than fill the gap. Items 2 and 3 are good points. regards Ray