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Politics : Formerly About Advanced Micro Devices -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: combjelly who wrote (307554)	10/24/2006 8:22:08 PM
From: TimF	Read Replies (3) \| Respond to of 1571215

Getting rid of most of them in the US could perhaps be done, but only at a cost that exceeds any reasonably imaginable benefit." I think that is the unspoken case. I doubt if mindmeld, in particular, cares if they use them in China or not. AS, I don't know. 1 - The distinction was also "most" vs "all". Not just the US vs. the world. 2 - Mindmeld apparently hopes for the Middle East to go "back to being an impoverished desert with no oil money". Which would seem to imply more than just the US no longer needing oil. If we assume that something like the EEStor caps can be built with the performance and cost characteristics claimed... ...It is very conceivable that virtually all automobiles and many of the commercial vehicles would be pure electrics within a 15 year period. Its conceivable, even possible, but extraordinarily unlikely. You wouldn't just be replacing the cars, you would have to have new car designs, further technological and engineering development of the caps (or other solution) and the infrastructure to build them (you would need over 100 million units), and an increase in electricity production and distribution infrastructure. I doubt we will even see a prototype of a car powered by these caps in 2006, 2007, or 2008. Even if they live up to the hype I doubt I would be able to buy one for several more years, than it will take time for them to take over a larger and larger share of the market and for the electricity infrastructure to scale up. It could easily be more like 30 years than 15, and that's assuming that the caps live up to all the hype.