Silicon Investor (SI) -- The First Internet Community

STOCKTALK

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor. We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community. If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.

Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: TobagoJack who wrote (10682)	10/27/2006 8:39:36 AM
From: foundation	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 217575

Worm in the Sunni apple: The Shi'a Revival Vali Nasr -- Oct 28, 2006 atimes.com ---------- ... enter Shi'ite Crescent? ... exit Saudi, Pakistani despots? ... will W applaud majority rule?

To: TobagoJack who wrote (10682)	10/27/2006 12:31:45 PM
From: Rolla Coasta	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 217575

Housing bubble ... Well, my guess is ... if things turn out really bad in korean peninsula, Shanghai real estate value could crash first, Japan & HK might follow depending on the scale of the effects. Could it affect globally ? Maybe not ... But I would say NK is probably the trigerring source and nothing else ... Debt binge ... A natural human is born with a balance sheet, either clean or not clean. If in Adam case, his aging process is a debt incurring process. He must find food to survive & then all the sudden he finds an enemy competing with him for resources. If he fights with his enemy, he might die, which means he is bankrupt. Or if he find friendship with his enemy & work together to search for more resources, he may survive longer with his human power, working on his own GDP growth. Debt is always there & with human power, you still need to work ... If everyone is debt free, what would happen to the world ? impossible to grow ...

To: TobagoJack who wrote (10682)	10/27/2006 12:41:49 PM
From: Maurice Winn	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 217575

TJ wrong again on causal relationships. It wasn't "easy" money which made the biotelecosmictechdot.com P:E madness, it was the madness of crowds: <Greenie lowered interest rate amidst already easy money, engendered stock mania, then doubled up due to irrational fear of Y2K ... the share market blew up, which then echo-ed into being the housing bubble and the debt binge ... > Irrational exuberance was a 1995 phenomenon which continued to Y2K. He didn't double up for Y2K, just loaded a fleet of helicopters with cash, which didn't have to take off. He did as expected when the Y2K bust came and decided to launch said helicopters anyway, having them conveniently ready to go. When 911 arrived, he went whole hog and slashed interest rates to record lows [for the USA if not Japan]. The Dow didn't go nuts with irrational exuberance. It was mainly the eyeballs economy. The Dow just needed a crunch [as predicted by the amazingly prescient Mq in 1999] to remove the "wild" from the wild-eyed speculators. Uncle Al KBE didn't engender the stock mania. Though he did encourage the housing enthusiasm - excessively I thought. The trough in interest rates was too long. He was too slow cutting interest rates in Y2K [I thought at the time to help Bush win], therefore exacerbating the fall in share prices. Then too slow raising them again. Mqurice