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Strategies & Market Trends : Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Broken_Clock who wrote (58684)	10/27/2006 8:05:50 PM
From: Broken_Clock	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 116555

“Change the channel” - Brig. Gen. Mark Kimmitt's advice to Iraqis who see TV images of innocent civilians killed by coalition troops. iraqbodycount.net October 11, 2006 Iraqi deaths under occupation Posted by Helena Cobban at October 11, 2006 08:48 PM I've now had the chance to start reading the latest, very disturbing Lancet study of the mortality rate inside Iraq since the US invasion. The researchers, who were from the very well-regarded Johns Hopkins School of Public Health in Baltimore, Maryland, and Al-Mustansiriya University in Baghdad, conducted a face-to-face household survey of a near-proportional national sample of 40-household clusters: 1,849 households comprising 12,801 people. Extrapolating from this sample, they calculated that with 95% certainty, the number of "excess deaths" suffered in Iraq between March 19, 2003 and the end of June 2006, over what would have occurred had the pre-war mortality rate been sustained, was between 393,000 and 942,000, with the best estimate being around 655,000. These are shocking figures, by any measure. These researchers used the same methodology used during their earlier study, two years ago, which at that time found around 100,000 excess deaths. In the interviews, the household heads or their spouses were asked about all the births and deaths in the household in the period between January 2002 and June 2006, with the cause of death (if known), and the production of death certificates where possible. They later divided the reported deaths up into four time periods of roughly 13-14 months each: (I) January '02 - March 18, '03; (II) March 19 '03 - April '04; (III) May '04 - May '05; and (IV) June '05 - June '06. If you go to the bottom of p.4 of the Lancet study, you will see that the crude mortality rates reported during these four time periods were as follows: Period I (pre-war)-- 5.5 deaths per 1,000 people/year Period II-- 7.5 .... Period III-- 10.9 ... Period IV-- 19.8 ... So you can clearly see not only that the numbers are large but also that they have been growing steeply throughout every year the US has stayed in Iraq. That is an extremely important finding. It corrobrates what has been evident to all of us who follow the daily news reports. So where are the arguments of those who, one year ago, or two, or three, were claiming that the US "owes it to the Iraqi people" to stay in Iraq to "help fix the mess we inadvertently made there" (the so-called "Pottery Barn rule).... ?? As I've been arguing here all along, yes, the US does owe the Iraqi people a lot. justworldnews.org