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Politics : Liberalism: Do You Agree We've Had Enough of It? -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Ann Corrigan who wrote (7836)10/31/2006 12:21:10 PM
From: American Spirit  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 224729
 
You are ignorant about politics. In a midterm with with president at 35% approvals, undecideds will go against his party in the end by a large margin. CLinton was at 47% support in 1994 when Dems lost 50 seats.

Even those GOP incumbent congressmen now slightly ahead in the polls rarely have 50% of the vote, which means they are in trouble. If a congressman isn't getting at least 49% right now he's probably going to lose. Gerrymandering will save some, but only a portion.

The GOP has been hoping their financial advantage would make a difference, but Dems have caught up, beating them in fundraising this month, and the GOP negative ads are not working as they have in past elections, in fact they are backfiring. Rush Limbaugh may have cost the GOP the senate by dishonestly attacking Michael J. Fox for instance. People are turned off by the sleazy and sishonesty, and todaty's GOP is well know to be very-very corrupt.



To: Ann Corrigan who wrote (7836)10/31/2006 12:46:05 PM
From: American Spirit  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 224729
 
Cook Report: More Movement Toward Dems, Away From GOP/Bush
Notice how many formerly "safe" GOP seats are now toss-ups. More every day. So Charlie Cook proves you're a liar.

October 30, 2006

• THERE IS NO EBB IN THE WAVE: With the election just eight days away, there are no signs that this wave is abating. Barring a dramatic event, we are looking at the prospect of GOP losses in the House of at least 20 to 35 seats, possibly more, and at least four in the Senate, with five or six most likely. (Read More)

• GOV RATING CHANGES: Open-seat contests in Alaska and Idaho, two GOP strongholds, have become competitive. If Republicans cannot hold on in these contests on Election Day, their losses could be in the 7- to 8-seat range.

AK Open Lean Republican to Toss Up
ID Open Lean Republican to Toss Up

• HOUSE RATINGS CHANGES: With just eight days to go until Election Day, the list of vulnerable Republican House seats continues to grow. Just a few weeks ago, most of these newly added contests were either considered long-shots or weren’t even on the radar screen. Click here to read more.

AZ-05 Hayworth Lean Republican to Toss Up
CA-11 Pombo Lean Republican to Toss Up
CO-04 Musgrave Lean Republican to Toss Up
CO-05 Open Likely Republican to Lean Republican
IA-01 Open Toss Up to Lean Democratic
KS-02 Ryun Likely Republican to Toss Up
MN-01 Gutknecht Lean Republican to Toss Up
NE-03 Open Likely Republican to Lean Republican
NH-02 Bass Lean Republican to Toss Up
OH-02 Schmidt Lean Republican to Toss Up
WY-AL Cubin Lean Republican to Toss Up
CA-50 Bilbray Likely Republican to Lean Republican

• Catch up on the latest House, Senate and Governors polls.

The Latest Cook Political Report/RT Strategies Poll