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Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Seeker of Truth who wrote (11133)	11/6/2006 1:40:28 AM
From: Rolla Coasta	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 218697

The peak production of postwar babies was probably around 1946. Those babies are now 60. It's pretty hard to hold onto a job when your 60, unless you are working for the federal government. Five years from now this cohort will almost all be forced from their jobs. In the new emerging industrialization, the future of economy will be gradually shifting from old boring labor intensity work into automation robotic work, and thus keeping the productivity to go forward. Those retirees may not all of the sudden go unnoticed. Their knowledge of expertise is still valuable. Simply put it, some old jobs would become obsolete and be replaced by other new innovative work that drive our economy forward. Since US is still leading in R&D in the world, new kind of jobs will be created.

To: Seeker of Truth who wrote (11133)	11/6/2006 4:12:25 AM
From: energyplay	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 218697

The peak of the baby boom in the US was in 1957, with about 4.3 million births. 1947 was about 3.9 or so. Again in 1961, there were 4.3 million births. Post 1964, the birth rate drops, and this generation is know as "Generation X" or Gen X after the book by Douglas Copeland. Gen Y comes after them. Since military consription in the US ended in 1973, those born in 1965 or later were not subject to the draft. Very few born in 1964 were subject to the draft, as the numbers required dropped sharply by 1972. Canada was about half a year behind the US due to slower return of service men. Britian has a sharp peak in 46-47, and then a drop, possibly because of post war frugality / poverty. ***************** One key point - If you are an employer looking for people 20 years younger to replace that 60 year old boomer, you very soon will need to go to 21, 22, and 23 years younger, because there the numbers born in 1966, 1967 and 1968 are smaller than 1946, 1947, and 1948 - I think. >>>I was wrong, this is not true until we ge tto those born in 1954... census.gov geography.about.com There are some difference between the first half of the baby boom, up to about 1958-1960, and the later half. Besides history, the first half has a large percentage of first borns, and the second half has a lower than usual percentage of first borns.