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Politics : Formerly About Advanced Micro Devices -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Road Walker who wrote (309337)11/6/2006 4:01:04 PM
From: Alighieri  Respond to of 1578098
 
He is reduced to stumping for Florida's K Harris on the last day...

Al
==========================================================
White House Windup

Bush ends his final campaign swing on an anticlimactic note, dropping in on the Florida Panhandle, rural northwest Arkansas and his home state of Texas. One of the main candidates he’s scheduled to stump for today, Florida gubernatorial nominee Charlie Crist, let it be known on Sunday he isn’t even planning to show up for the rally at the Pensacola Civic Center. Crist campaign officials explained that he’s doing fine in the Panhandle and they figured he could better spend his time elsewhere. He’s planning to cover the peninsula in a seven-city blitz. Not surprisingly, Crist’s opponent, Rep. Jim Davis, immediately claimed the state’s attorney general is ducking his president.
[Bush]
Bush

Appearing with the president instead will be his brother, Gov. Jeb Bush, and Senate candidate Katherine Harris – whom White House strategists regarded as so hapless that they tried to ease her out of the race last summer. In Arkansas, Bush’s appearance on behalf of the gubernatorial nominee, former congressman Asa Hutchinson, has a similar perfunctory feel – Hutchinson, although well liked in mainstream Republican circles, is way behind in polls.

With his approval ratings hovering around 40%, the president has been a less-than-dominant presence in the late campaigning. He’s avoided altogether several of the big battleground states like Ohio, Pennsylvania and New York. The White House has been quick to refute suggestions that Bush is losing relevance, however. Asked about how Bush feels about being on his last campaign, spokesman Tony Snow said, “I know you guys are desperate for, you know, the President sort of putting on the spurs and walking off into the sunset, but there’s also a 2008 campaign to come and two more years of this presidency. Trust me, you guys need to strap on your running shoes, because it’s going to be a busy two years.” – John D. McKinnon



To: Road Walker who wrote (309337)11/6/2006 4:09:40 PM
From: tejek  Respond to of 1578098
 
I thought it was just the Gallup Poll that was coming in well for the Dems. But apparently some of the other pollsters are seeing a Dem. surge at the last minute........at least in some races. Its hard to tell what's going to happen tomorrow.

BTW the Gallup polls for VA and TN were the only ones negative for the Dems in the Senate races. The rest of the Gallup polls including MT and MO were very positive.

News-7 Poll: Webb surges ahead of Allen

Allen (left) and Webb

Democrat Jim Webb has surged ahead of Republican George Allen in the last poll of the campaign, conducted for News-7 by SurveyUSA.

The survey shows Webb with 52% of the likely voters, with 44% going to Allen.

In five previous SurveyUSA tracking polls, the race was a virtual tie with Allen slightly ahead. Other late polls show the race much closer. A Mason-Dixon poll released over the weekend had Webb ahead by a point, and a Gallup poll released today has Allen up by three.

The SurveyUSA poll also shows 42% support for the Marriage Amendment, but with 22% still uncertain over how they'll vote. Thirty-six percent say they'll vote against it.

SurveyUSA interviewed 1,000 Virginia adults from November 3 through November 5. Of them, 840 were registered to vote. Of them, 741 were judged to be "likely" voters. Survey details reflect Likely Voters.

***



To: Road Walker who wrote (309337)11/6/2006 4:16:28 PM
From: tejek  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 1578098
 
re: No, you have it reversed. Supposedly, rain benefits the Dems, and hurts the GOP.

This from my local paper...

Democrats hope rain, rain stays away
New research says bad weather can cut into Democrats’ voter turnout.


Its news to me. Its always been the other way around.

"Why are Democrats affected more? Political operatives believe it’s a matter of demographics. Democratic voters tend to be poorer than Republicans and may not have cars to drive to the polls. Those voters, the theory goes, would be more likely to stay home in bad weather."

And this doesn't make sense to me. Most people do have cars. Secondly, most polling places are within walking distance. Mine here in Seattle is three blocks away. In LA it was a block away. Thirdly, GOTV means some people have to be driven to their polling place......both parties understand that premise and make arrangements accordingly.

Sorry, but I am not buying their argument.



To: Road Walker who wrote (309337)11/6/2006 4:19:20 PM
From: tejek  Respond to of 1578098
 
BTW SI is off for 2-3 hours today.......conspiracy theory # 2,452: its to keep ABBers from communicating with each other before the election. LOL.

Check this out:

Time Magazine first reported on the memo [GOP] this weekend, but the full text is below.

---------------
Memorandum

To: Ken Mehlman
From: Jan van Lohuizen
Date: March 3, 2006
Re: Bush -- Congressional Republicans

Per our conversation, we took another look at the way voters, Republicans specifically, link President Bush and Republicans in the House and the Senate. There are several points worth making:

1. President Bush continues to have the strong loyal support of Republican voters. Despite slippage in approval ratings among all voters, the President's job approval among Republicans continues to be very high. Most members will be elected with between 80% and 100% of their support coming from Republicans. I don't see that Republicans driving a wedge between themselves and the President is a good election strategy.

2. My read of the current environment is that our problem will be turnout. '06 could become an election like '82 or '84. In '82 Republicans showed up at relatively normal turnout rates, while Democrats, because they were angry, showed up at abnormally high turnout rates. In '94, Republican turnout was elevated, while Democratic turnout was depressed. We have every reason to believe '06 could become the inverse of '82. We don't see signs of a depressed Republican turnout yet, but we have every reason to believe Democrats will turn out in high numbers. Anything we do to depress turnout, by not running as a unified party for instance, could very well lead to serious consequences in November.

3. The President is seen universally as the face of the Republican Party. We are now brand W. Republicans. The following chart shows the extremely close correlation between the President’s image and overall ratings of the party.

President Bush drives our image and will do so until we have real national front-runners for the '08 nomination. Attacking the President is counter productive for all Republicans, not just the candidates launching the attacks. If he drops, we all drop.