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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Eddy Blinker who wrote (73911)11/9/2006 9:40:53 AM
From: Real Man  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 110194
 
Eddy, never mind, I'm not trying to convince you these markets
aren't free. One can either have faith in free markets, or not. I
don't, based on what I see.

Some folks (floor traders) see it in huge 15,000 contracts
per minute SP e-mini orders from one counterparty. I don't have
access, so I just see the effect on DOW tape from arbitragers.
WYSIWYG, so I tend to believe these folks. That's my chart,
I see this every day. It started probably in 2003-2004.I tend to
believe these rallies that throw SP up 10 points in 30 minutes
are quite strange. They are 10 standard deviations on short-term
chart, so the statistical probability of those rallies to happen
by chance is 0.000000000000000000001 or less



It is also worth noting that when this SP rally started in July,
only about 3-5 points of 40 first points were gains during the
market hours. I consider that strange as well. I have no other
evidence myself, so ...