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Gold/Mining/Energy : Gold and Silver Juniors, Mid-tiers and Producers -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: loantech who wrote (25256)11/13/2006 3:25:52 PM
From: Rarebird  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 78411
 
I eyeball each chart separately. Gold in USD is clearly in a contracting triangle. The ultimate resolution should be a thrust rally ending in the second half of 2007. Once the $650-$655 level in USD is clearly broken to the upside, all hell should break loose. The $720 level should then be taken out with ease and a challenge of the 1980 all time high in the POG will be in order.

I pointed out a few weeks ago that money flow had turned extremely positive in regard to GDX and a new uptrend formed on October 24, 2007. This is why I am wildly bullish on GDX and bought in. I try to follow the $$$. As a result, I am now an intermediate term investor in this sector. The bullish coast looks clear to me through the end of January 07. All dips should continue to be bought till further notice.

What I see in regard to USO, on the other hand, is a clear bottoming pattern. This is why all dips should be bought! I expect new 52 week highs in USO in the coming months. Bullish divergences abound. This is a ground floor opportunity. Take a light position and add on dips. You will be well-rewarded in the coming months. That has been my strategy.



To: loantech who wrote (25256)12/17/2006 11:18:13 PM
From: Rarebird  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 78411
 
Gold Update:

The trend is neutral here. Gold will likely build a base now for a huge rally to new all time highs in 2007 (second half).

Gold Mining Stocks (GDX):

The Gold Mining Stocks should come under pressure as I expect a sharp stock market correction in the January/February time frame. That is to say, the pull of gravity appears likely to send mining stocks tumbling in the near future despite the promise of a longer term uptrend. It should be a good buying opportunity in the first quarter of 2007.

I sold GDX on December 7:

Message 23079498

I think it is wise to hedge or reduce exposure to the stock market here, including mining stocks and energy stocks.

Currently, I'm long Oil (USO) and higher interest rates via RRPIX. I'm a little over 91% cash. Risk is extremely high here.

Recent strength in the US Dollar Index is a sign it is close to bottoming. That could last for 6 months.