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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Rarebird who wrote (74095)11/15/2006 9:45:03 AM
From: Real Man  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 110194
 
Message 23000384
That's not an options rally. All is well while the 10-year
rates are manipulated lower and the dollar higher. We are
going higher, maybe a temporary 2 point setback for the SP
here. But, to understand that, one
has to recognize the fact that these markets are managed -g-

June decline was a consequence of 10-year rates breaking out,
and the dollar dump. This threatened the end of the regime -
once the dollar starts to get severely dumped, the Fed's ``games''
with fiat currency are over. Bonds and currencies are
harder to manage through derivatives, cause
these are derivative markets.
So, stocks were dumped temporarily
to create a safety bid under the bond market, as it has
been done on numerous occasions in the past. Commodities
were crashed, and the fake "no inflation" reports were
rolled out. The bond market was saved.
This is not the case now - 10 year bonds are well bid,
spreads of junk over treasuries are non-existent.
So, no - stocks are not going lower. -g-
If anything, the bond market is more
important than the stock market.

Every time the bond market is in trouble, the Fed fires
up the printing press via securities lending and coupon
passes.