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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: russwinter who wrote (74211)11/16/2006 5:18:03 PM
From: Mr.Creosote  Respond to of 110194
 
"Speculators continue to run over commercials, at least for now."

But why is this so? There are two reasons for why speculators are doing this.

(1) Strong uptrend --in force since July
(2) Strong seasonals --Fall before 3rd year in election cycle

This kind of opportunity to make money from the long side comes along once every 4 years and, despite popular belief, the state of the housing market is irrelevant here.

There is no need to be persistently one-sided (and wrong) on this market.