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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: mishedlo who wrote (74230)11/16/2006 7:34:43 PM
From: Claude Cormier  Respond to of 110194
 
Nice CRB chart

Message 23019410



To: mishedlo who wrote (74230)11/17/2006 9:50:19 AM
From: SouthFloridaGuy  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 110194
 
Actually, no, and don't make me parse through your posts or blog because I have better things to do.

You have cherry picked specific periods where stocks have made a high.

I have pointed out that during expansions, stocks make multi-period highs.

If recession were a foregone conclusion, then stocks wouldn't be making new highs. While stocks are not good predictors of recessions, because bear markets can occur for various reason (1987,1994,1998), they have always fallen significantly before a recession. This is a fact.

So by calling for recession, you are calling a top in stocks, which is ludicrous because you've been calling a top for many years.