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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Crimson Ghost who wrote (74246)11/17/2006 8:28:30 AM
From: Rarebird  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 110194
 
>>I will be able to recognize signs ot a top when they start to occur.<<

The Bond Market is the key. Yesterday, the inflation data reported was better than expected, but the bond market did not react well to it. Whenever better than expected news is taken poorly by a market, that market is in a bear trend. Thus, the bond market has already topped and is heading lower in price, higher in rates. This usually precedes a stock top by a variable interval, so it confirms that a significant top in the stock market is on the way.

The lag between the bond top and the stock market top can take anywhere from a few days to a few weeks.

If you have some time to study, read what this guy has to say: Terry Laundry and his T Theory Observations:

ttheory.com

His track record is incredible. But his ideas take a long time to digest. He is looking for a correction in the January/February time frame. (I wouldn't be surprised to see a December low.) He called the May/June correction well ahead of time as well as the late July/early August bottom.

RRPIX looks interesting here.