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Politics : Formerly About Advanced Micro Devices -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Road Walker who wrote (313174)	11/30/2006 8:45:43 AM
From: combjelly	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 1572502

"Are there principles that would apply to Iraq (which is certainly a chaotic system with many moving parts)?" Hmm, interesting idea. I don't think anyone has tried to apply chaos theory to something like Iraq. Stock trading, sure. Although that hasn't been very successful. I don't think the stock market is as chaotic as it appears. The forces are as independent as the theory would require. In general, when a chaotic system shifts from one dynamicly stable configuration to another, the swings around the strange attractor get wider and wider until the swing encompasses the new attractor. Then the swings start to decrease as the system settles in to the new stable pattern. Given that the previous state was a strong, central dictator and the most likely results are pretty far from that, it pretty much means that things will get a whole lot worse before they start getting better. Personally, I think Balkanization is the only way things will work in Iraq. History has shown that when Balkanization is in the air, the only thing that stops it is a strong dictator and iron control. If you get them on the ground with your boot on their neck and a gun at their head, then you can hold them together. Slack just the slightest, and they are at each other's throat.