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Politics : PRESIDENT GEORGE W. BUSH -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Karen Lawrence who wrote (755432)	12/1/2006 2:06:16 AM
From: Karen Lawrence	Respond to of 769670

delete.

To: Karen Lawrence who wrote (755432)	12/1/2006 2:07:53 AM
From: Karen Lawrence	Respond to of 769670

Bush seems determined to ignore report - ANALYSIS-Highly anticipated Iraq report may fall flat 01 Dec 2006 06:06:59 GMT Source: Reuters Iraq in turmoil More By Carol Giacomo, Diplomatic Correspondent WASHINGTON, Dec 1 (Reuters) - Even before its release, a high-profile advisory panel's report on U.S. policy alternatives in Iraq is generating much excitement but some worry that its main recommendations will fall short of expectations and may be ignored by President George W. Bush. The Iraq Study Group plans to roll out its report on Wednesday but details are leaking out on conclusions reached in secret by the panel's five Democrats and five Republicans addressing America's most immediate foreign policy crisis. The aim has been to produce a bipartisan framework for Bush, his Republican Party and opposition Democrats to change course as Iraq descends into civil war. "Expectations are out of control" for what the panel, chaired by former Secretary of State James Baker and former Democratic Rep. Lee Hamilton, might achieve, lamented one source close to the deliberations. Major proposals reported so far include a U.S. military shift from combat toward more of a support role in Iraq over the next year and more aggressive diplomacy including a regional conference that could lead to direct U.S. talks with Iran and Syria. Those are controversial but not radical ideas and some experts question whether the commission's work may fall flat. That would be unusual for Baker, a master political strategist. "Insofar as they make a clear suggestion that we must abandon Iraq they will be ignored because the president has said we will not," said Danielle Pletka of the conservative American Enterprise Institute, where experts strongly backed the Iraq war but now criticize the postwar effort. PROPOSAL WELCOMED Democratic Sen. Carl Levin of Michigan, incoming chairman of the Senate Armed Services Committee who backs a phased withdrawal of U.S. forces, said the redeployment proposal "would send a message that the U.S. presence is not open-ended, and would move away from the administration policy that essentially provides Iraqis with a blank check on the presence of our troops." Baker and Hamilton believe Bush erred in isolating Iran and Syria, which the United States accuses of fueling bloodshed in Iraq, and have endorsed engaging America's enemies. Many experts doubt Iran and Syria would help Washington restore stability in Iraq and even those who favor dialogue say it may be too late. The West accuses Iran of pursuing nuclear weapons, but Tehran insists its aim is energy production. Aaron Miller, a former senior State Department official who helped Baker organize the 1991 Middle East peace conference in Madrid, said he did not object to talks but dialogue with Iran and Syria were "keys to empty rooms." Core needs of the United States and Iran were "beyond bridging at this stage" and with Syria "there are real problems that will have to be overcome if anything meaningful is going to emerge," he told Reuters. The possibility of an international conference, especially if it includes U.S. ally Israel and addresses Lebanon and the Israeli-Palestinian conflict as well as Iraq, also has spurred debate. PRESSURE ON ISRAEL? Critics fear it would pressure Israel to make peace with Palestinian leaders who are incapable of implementing their commitments. One eagerly awaited section of the report deals with Iraq's political structure. "I do not believe the recommendations are going to be dramatic enough to resolve the violence in Iraq because they are not likely to recommend a wholesale restructuring of Iraq's government to bring about more balance between Sunnis and Shi'ites," said Middle East expert Kenneth Katzman of the Library of Congress' Congressional Research Service. A congressional source said the panel was expected to endorse building up support for a strong Iraqi central government and Prime Minister Nuri al-Maliki. That would largely continue existing U.S. policy and would fail, he said. Democratic Sen. Joseph Biden, incoming chairman of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee who may run for president, has argued for backing a switch to a federal system for Iraq that would retain a central government while giving Shi'ite, Sunni and Kurdish groups "breathing room" in their own regions. Uneasy about what the panel might recommend, Bush directed the Pentagon and State Department to also do policy reviews, visited Jordan for talks with Maliki and repeated his strong opposition to phased withdrawal. Experts say Bush was trying to show diplomatic movement and create options for himself in advance of the panel's report. alertnet.org