To: zeta1961 who wrote (1191 ) 12/2/2006 1:24:09 PM From: Mike McFarland Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 1336 Just a more benign pattern for the Pacific Northwest. It can actually be quite a bit wetter and stormier at times for Central and Southern California. When the westerlies sag south in the late fall and early winter, frontal systems start to tap into that extra warmth and moisture due to the warmer than normal surface temperatures of the equatorial Pacific. That tends to build a mean ridge over the Pacific Northwest and the jet stream splits alot--with one branch heading toward California, and one branch heading north into Northern B.C. For Seattle, we say that we can get a bookend winter-- so we might have got the bulk of our storms (and indeed lowland snowfall) this past November...and have to wait til late February or March to get more of that again. That said, the winter of 68-69 was also a weak El-Nino and that was the snowiest winter on record for Seattle. So there are always outliers. I wouldn't be surprised to see a couple weeks of quiet weather in Seattle, and then see things move toward a 68-69 type of winter. But I cant back up that forecast with anything. The long range models are not very good past about one week, so nobody can say what will happen with any skill. Well, that is not true--the climate center claims very modest skill at their 30 day and 90 day outlooks. Those I think call for temps to be near normal and the weather to be a notch drier than normal for Washington. I couldn't tell you what the long lead outlooks say for California, probably dry and warm and now watch the split flow storms will start heading for San Diego, heh. --- I'm a couple or three episodes behind on House, have I been missing good ones?