SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Strategies & Market Trends : Classic TA Workplace -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Galirayo who wrote (139118)12/2/2006 10:07:34 AM
From: Patrick Slevin  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 209892
 
And there will be cold weather caused by a Canadian low, not to be confused with a Mexican high.

Currently it's 70 degrees at the airport, which is stupid because I don't know anybody who lives at the airport.



To: Galirayo who wrote (139118)1/5/2007 10:58:41 PM
From: skinowski  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 209892
 
You are supposed to know what will happen in Feb - March Ski

All I know is that if all goes well maybe by then I'll have a chance to go skiing... -vbg.

But seriously, Ray, I don't have a good answer to your question. Maybe Mr. Elliott was smarter than I... or, maybe during that particular period the markets have been tracing out clear waves -- that happens now and then.

In October of 2002 I followed my analysis and was buying on the day before the markets made their final low the next morning. That was nice. I think that during bear markets EW may be actually working better - because things tend to be more emotionally charged.

At this time of the year seasonality still tends to have a bullish bias -- but seasonality lately has not been very helpful (and the 4 year cycle low - which never occurred - is costing me a nice few bucks in losing puts). I suspect that the overwhelming bullishness out there is a sign of an impending important top.... but big tops (or bottoms) may take a long time to form.

The longer term trend is still up... and many charts suggest that it is worth expecting new rally highs. It should be noted that $INDU looks like it may have a completed Ending Diagonal in place, suggesting that it might be "'done" with its advance.

In the short term, I formulated my view a couple of days ago... I think all this still holds:

Message 23150756