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Politics : Formerly About Advanced Micro Devices -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: combjelly who wrote (313611)	12/2/2006 11:12:37 PM
From: Taro	Respond to of 1574332

El Nino, "The Kid", entiendo. So they couldn't have known, I guess. As the Danish national cartoonist Storm P (P for Petersen, that was 60+ years ago though) expressed it, "Predicting is quite difficult, and in particular so about the future". Taro

To: combjelly who wrote (313611)	12/5/2006 7:18:32 PM
From: tejek	Respond to of 1574332

I looked back through. I was thinking earlier because El Nino conditions generally occur around late November/December. The name is a reference to Christmas. I had that wrong. The El Nino information came out in the spring. The NOAA predictions were made earlier. They thought conditions were right for a La Nina, that turned out to be in error. Again, El Nino and La Nina are not predictable under the conditions occur. El Niño is a reference to the baby Jesus because the fisherman off the coast of S. America would begin to notice El Niño effects around December. However, when I lived in CA, they would start talking about El Niño in early summer, sometimes as early as late spring. Invariably, there might be a rain event sometime during that summer....a very unusual occurrence for LA. But it wasn't until the normal rains came in the Fall that we would see true El Niño effects......way above normal rainfall totals. And contrary to the observations of the Peruvian fishermen, El Niño typically didn't peak until February/March.