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Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: energyplay who wrote (12144)12/5/2006 12:08:03 AM
From: gumnam  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 218083
 
That is a very good point. I almost hope that there is some inflationary outcome. A deflationary outcome can be so much uglier in so many ways.

And I hope that the situation can be controlled and managed through financial means. When things lead to wars, noone wins.

I guess I am in a very subdued mood today



To: energyplay who wrote (12144)12/5/2006 5:38:21 AM
From: elmatador  Respond to of 218083
 
Money is a good like any other. If you flood the market it gets cheaper, but if you flood the market and the takers keep coming, the issuer of the currency keep happily printing.

Galloping inflation on the US is not possible. As USD gets printed, other countries buy it. Like Brazil buys it and send it back as payment for its debt. Or other countries, print their own currency and exchange it for USD, thus inflating their own countries,and keeping the USD as reserves. This is necessary to avoid a 1997 meltdown. No reserves? Foreigners come and raid your currency forcing it down.

I look to Brazil as the best example of making it good out of the present situation:
Pays debt
Country’s Risk goes down
Can access capital at lower spread
Market perceive the country is solid
Foreign capital pours in
More possibility to print local currency to fund growth (in the actual case to pay the Brazilian state machine because government and people are stupid)



To: energyplay who wrote (12144)12/5/2006 5:46:23 AM
From: elmatador  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 218083
 
TJ inflation script is the possibility of flooding the market with colored paper, the more you print, the more is available. As it happens to any good, when there’s too much of it, its price drops. Drops to a point that is better to have a sack of potato than to have wads of the colored paper. Brazil is the case in point.