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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Ramsey Su who wrote (75146)12/9/2006 5:42:47 PM
From: russwinter  Respond to of 110194
 
<800 employee network. Is that of no value? Same holds for Sebring?>

It's a subprime network, which the enablers are getting rid of. These employees are getting to be a dime, a dozen. If someone really wanted to expand, which I can't fathom now, other than cherry picking the big producer. And they could be rehired for squat.

Think the business model is to exploit these markets to the max and the bitter end, and then completely pull the plug fast.



To: Ramsey Su who wrote (75146)12/9/2006 6:11:06 PM
From: orkrious  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 110194
 
If the industry cleans itself up in this manner, then the strategy would have to be short the losers and long the survivors, no?

Doesn't everyone one of these companies have to buy back a percentage of the bad loans they originated?

If so there won't be any survivors.



To: Ramsey Su who wrote (75146)12/11/2006 8:33:45 AM
From: russwinter  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 110194
 
Am using Toll Brothers “quick delivery homes” site to track inventories and the condition of the higher end market.
quickdeliveryhomes.com

Will post update every Monday. I suppose if someone were even more diligent, a spread sheet could be created, and sales recorded as homes dropped off? Or price reductions noted?

Offerings:
12-4: 612
12-11:615