To: economaniack who wrote (219931 ) 12/10/2006 5:19:40 PM From: kpf Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 275872 e I am sure I have made some painfully stupid comments over the several years I have posted here. I don't find this one even a bit embarrassing. Good. I didn't find it embarrassing either, otherwise I wouldn't reply.AMD lists R&D expenses of roughly $1.1 billion for the last year, so I was off by about 30%. Depends from where you look at it. From your number, AMD's is off by more than 50%. Anyway, it is 400 Million per year off, or 800 Million off per node. Not exactly peanuts, for a starter. I wish you would explain how you got a breakdown of spending between product specific expenditures and process development. It would be something useful to know. A breakdown would be well beyond the frame or a posting. To begin with, even the board has learned that many products are made from a layout. This only happened during the last year, when I elaborated on this in 05 and earlier I was regularly attacked with flame wars. Time for you to catch up on this and get rid of this imagination. Anyway, there is a pretty easy way to to get a grip on development costs of a node: Look at what for you need to spene money and how much that costs: You need to run a dedicated fab to do it. Look at what it costs to operate a fab. Public information is available. Look when Fab36 was built (public) and figure out how long it took AMD to make the first dollar with it, e.g when it could turn it to a production fab. (public). Add the pile of money AMD needed to spend for portions of the Consortium-Cost to get into the position where it made sense to even start to build a dev-fab. (Public as well). If you are trying to justify the 10 figure number, I would happily accept that AMD's spending on process development is likely over $800 million per node and could be $1 billion. If that is what you meant I have no great quarrel with it, just would note that Intel's R&D is roughly 5 times greater than AMD and could also be described as 10 figure, although that greatly obscures the difference between them. How much do you figure Intel is spending on process R&D? Off hand I don't see a particular reason to conclude that Intel's spending per die has been meaningfully different than AMD's whether total cost, total R&D or some subset is the relevant measure. If you have some reason to believe otherwise I would appreciate your comments. Intel needs one development fab per node. AMD needs one development fab per node. You just can't do it with a fraction of a fab. It's really as easy as that. I definitely wanted total cost for this comparison. The whole point of the discussion was to evaluate the proportional impact of fixed costs related to process development. In the end, both AMD and Intel must cover all the costs of developing and selling processors, and this is the measure of average cost that is relevant to evaluating economies of scale. Perhaps you could quibble that Intel uses Marketing and GA in ways that are better viewed as reducing revenue rather than increasing cost, and I would be happy to entertain an argument that that changes the general conclusion. In any event COGS omits even the direct costs of product development. Well, you wanted me to speak less carefully, politely, for clarity. Here is: Putting any economic term you get a hold of into a mixer to make it sound economic language to impress and confuse everybody is maybe enough for this board - but is not nearly what it takes to get any economic degree from the uni i come from. It is hard to imagine Northwestern would give you anything else than a kick for such hogwash. Hope this was clear enough? K.