SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Politics : President Barack Obama -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: tejek who wrote (254)12/11/2006 10:58:13 PM
From: ChinuSFO  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 149317
 
The Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama show
Cokie ROBERTS Steven V. ROBERTS
Article Last Updated:12/11/2006 05:39:38 AM PST

HERE'S the problem the Democrats face: They know too much about Hillary Clinton and not enough about Barack Obama. Clinton has a boatload of baggage after 15 years in the national spotlight; Obama is an untested commodity after barely two years in the Senate. But primary voters will probably have to choose between them: the first woman, or minority, to head a major-party ticket.
Of course, one or both could still decide not to run. But Clinton is already recruiting supporters and has hired a finance director. Obama was in New Hampshire this weekend making speeches and signing books, not to ski.

And yes, the Hillary and Barack Show won't have the stage to itself. Democratic victories last month encouraged a long list of dreamers: Bayh, Vilsack, Edwards, Biden, Dodd, Richardson, Kerry, perhaps even Gore.

But if Clinton and Obama do run, they will suck up the three commodities that matter most in the 13 months prior to the Iowa caucus: money, staff and media attention. So at this early stage, how do they stack up against each other?

After eight years as first lady and six in the Senate, Hillary is one of the most experienced candidates in recent history. She's evolved into a fine legislator, gaining the respect of Republican colleagues like John McCain and shedding the liberal label by establishing moderate credentials on such issues as abortion and video games.

Sure, she won re-election in a Democratic year, against a weak opponent, but no serious rival had the guts to challenge her — and her victory was still impressive. She has the potential of tapping into a reservoir of female pride, power and money. She's the best fundraiser around, with the possible exception of her husband, Bill, and she'll always have her party's most effective strategist behind her.

But her drawbacks equal her assets. She is the most polarizing figure in America. In the latest Quinnipiac poll, 41 percent say she's not qualified to be president (56 percent say she is), and in exit polls last month, two out of five voters said they'd never vote for her.

One South Carolina Democrat told The New York Times that she couldn't win even if she "promised to eliminate the income tax and give free ice cream to everyone." Republicans are dying to send out a fund-raising appeal that reads: "Stop Hillary. Send Money."

She might be married to Bill Clinton, but there are enormous differences. He was a Southern governor, she is a Northern senator, and the country hasn't elected a lawmaker or a Frost Belter since 1960. Most importantly, she lacks the natural charm and the magical ability to connect with people that made Bill so magnetic.

In the Quinnipiac poll, voters were asked to rank 20 politicians on a "feeling thermometer." She finished ninth on the warmth index, well below the leader, former New York mayor Rudy Giuliani, potential rival McCain (third) and her husband (fifth).

Which brings us to Barack Obama, who finished second. Forty percent of Americans don't know him well enough to have an opinion, but still, that's a stunning result, and political insiders are trying to figure out why he has emerged so quickly as such a scintillating star.

Partly it's his story: The mixed race son of a white Kansan and a black Kenyan, raised in Hawaii by a single mother, he overcame early troubles with drugs to become the first black editor of the Harvard Law Review.

Partly it's his comfort with faith: At a conservative Christian church in Orange County he recently received a standing ovation when he declared: "This is my house, too. This is God's house. We've all got a stake in each other. I am my brother's keeper."

Partly it's his message of unity and optimism: He repeatedly condemns the "slash-and-burn, highly ideological politics" of recent years. He even titled his recent book "The Audacity of Hope."

Like Hillary, Barack has enormous problems. No one knows whether he will melt down in the fierce heat of a presidential campaign, made even hotter by modern technology that captures and communicates even the smallest misstep. And in a dangerous world, as Iraq falls apart, will voters feel comfortable choosing a leader with virtually no foreign experience?

Steven V. and Cokie Roberts write for the Newspaper Enterprise Association.



To: tejek who wrote (254)12/12/2006 8:49:30 AM
From: tonto  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 149317
 
Kerry received votes against Bush in 2004. He was not liked then, and is less popular today.

However, Kerry associates said the stinging public rebukes he got from Democrats revealed the deep skepticism he'd face from his own party if he ran for president again.



To: tejek who wrote (254)12/14/2006 9:02:43 PM
From: stockman_scott  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 149317
 
Obama: Not ‘the un-Hillary’
___________________________________________________________

By Rick Pearson
Chicago Tribune political reporter
December 14, 2006, 4:00 PM CST

Saying he finds himself at "an interesting moment in time," U.S. Sen. Barack Obama said today he believes he would be a "viable candidate" if he runs for the presidency but said he is not going to let public hype dictate his decision.

Meeting for more than an hour with the Tribune editorial board, Obama (D-Ill.) also said he has no interest in being "the un-Hillary" — a reference to Democrats who may be looking to coalesce around a single opponent to challenge New York Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton, who is considered the early front-runner for the 2008 Democratic nomination.

Neither Clinton or Obama has announced a presidential bid. Obama, a Chicagoan who was elected to the Senate in 2004, said he expects to announce a decision next month after a family vacation in Hawaii.

Obama said he has been "flattered" by the attention he has been receiving, but also said he realized that hype was "transitory" and that he would face extreme levels of scrutiny in a presidential run.

Currently, he said, he believed he was the beneficiary of being "a stand-in for a lot of America's desire to turn the page and see a new kind of politics." At the same time, he said by virtue of his books and his voting record, he has not been "hiding the ball" on where he stands on issues.

Still, Obama rejected efforts by conservative critics who contend his voting record is overtly liberal, saying the grading of Senate votes by special interest groups only provides a measure of bills "specifically structured to polarize as much as possible."

Obama said his self-evaluation for running for president involves his viability as a candidate, family considerations and whether he has what he called "a unique capacity to change the country at this point in time."

"Do I have something that is sufficiently unique to offer to the country that it is worth putting my family through a presidential campaign?" he said.

"Politically, I think I would be a viable candidate. That's a threshold," Obama said. "I wouldn't run if I couldn't win." He said a presidential victory was "conceivable."

He called Sen. Clinton a tough, disciplined and smart politician who would make a "capable president." But he said her campaign money and infrastructure advantage was "not my concern" and expressed confidence that he could raise money and assemble a potent campaign team.

On the Republican side, Obama said he considered Arizona Sen. John McCain to hold a position similar to Clinton as the early GOP frontrunner based on name recognition and resources, though he called former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney an "attractive candidate."

In a matchup with McCain, Obama said he was under no illusions how a GOP presidential campaign would be run against him.

"War hero against snot-nosed rookie," Obama said.

Obama also acknowledged discussing a potential presidential bid earlier this week during a private meeting with Mayor Richard Daley, but declined to discuss specifics.

Copyright © 2006, Chicago Tribune



To: tejek who wrote (254)12/15/2006 3:25:58 AM
From: stockman_scott  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 149317
 
Obama believes himself a 'viable candidate' for presidency
_________________________________________________________

By Rick Pearson
The Chicago Tribune
Posted on Fri, Dec. 15, 2006

CHICAGO - On the cusp of a historic decision over whether to run for the White House, Sen. Barack Obama said Thursday that he believed he would be a "viable candidate" for president who could move the nation beyond the generational politics that have defined the last 40 years.

"I wouldn't run if I didn't think I could win," Obama, D-Ill., said in a wide-ranging, hourlong interview with the Chicago Tribune editorial board in which the senator articulated a rationale for his potential candidacy, confidence in his ability to win and an assessment of potential opponents - both Democrat and Republican.

Obama said that he would reveal his decision in January, following a two-week family vacation that returns him to his roots in Hawaii, setting an extraordinary arc for a politician who a little more than two years ago was a state senator toiling in Springfield.

"Obviously, I find myself at an interesting moment in time," said Obama, who has ignited a stunning level of excitement nationwide with the prospects of his candidacy. At the same time, Obama said he viewed hype over his potential candidacy as "transitory" and not something that would dictate his decision.

He said he had no real concerns about his ability to put together a staff and raise the tens of millions of dollars he would need to wage a campaign against his potential opponents, including Democratic Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton of New York.

But he said he would have to weigh heavily the burdens that a campaign would place on his family, with his wife and two young daughters, making sure they would not "unduly suffer" from the hothouse atmosphere a White House run would create.

"Do I have something that is sufficiently unique to offer to the country that it is worth putting my family through a presidential campaign?" he said. "Politically, I think I would be a viable candidate. So that's a threshold question and I wouldn't run if I didn't think I could win."

His best-selling book, demands for him to campaign for other Democrats during the recent midterm elections, and the remarkable attention he has commanded in appearances in states with early nominating contests have combined to quickly thrust Obama into the upper tier of Democratic presidential contenders.

He also conceded that he has never been through anything approaching the level of scrutiny that a presidential campaign would bring on him, his family, and almost anyone who has been associated with him.

He said that his two books, the first an autobiography written when he was in his late 30s, and the second, a more policy-oriented book, offer much detail about who he is and his views on issues.

Asked how he would address the issue of his relative lack of experience, Obama said that he thought that the campaign itself - how he managed it, his position on issues and his framing of a vision for the country - would answer the question. "That experience question would be answered at the end of the campaign," he said.

"The test of leadership in my mind is not going to be what's on a paper resume," Obama said. Vice President Dick Cheney, a former defense secretary, and outgoing Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld "had the best resume on paper of any foreign policy team and the result has been what I consider to be one of the biggest foreign policy mistakes in our history," he said.

Should Obama seek the Democratic nomination, he would face a large field, many with much longer resumes than Illinois junior senator. But in three national polls released this week, Obama has leapfrogged many of those contenders and put himself in a position to be an alternative to Clinton, who, like Obama, has not declared her candidacy.

Obama said he was not concerned about being able to compete either in fundraising or in staffing should he enter the race.

"I don't want it to sound like raising $50 million to $60 million is easy," he said. "It's hard, but I think it's something that we could do."

Though he was born in 1961, Obama cast himself as the face of a post-Baby Boomer generation not fundamentally shaped by Vietnam and the culture conflicts of the 1960s. He said he could "help turn the page in ways that other candidates can't do."

Sounding very much like a candidate, Obama called Clinton, 59, a "tough, disciplined, smart, intelligent public servant." But, compared to Clinton, he maintained he was able to look at "some issues differently as a consequence of being of a slightly different generation."

When asked his assessment of Clinton, Obama said, "I think she'd be a capable president.

"She has gone through some battles that, in some cases unfairly, have created a perception about her that is different from how I am perceived," he said.

Obama said, however, that he had no interest in being what he called "the un-Hillary" - a reference to serving as a standard bearer for Democrats looking for an alternative to Clinton.

As for Republicans, Obama said that he placed Sen. John McCain of Arizona in the same position as Clinton holds among Democrats, with great name recognition and resources and the ability to sew up much of the party establishment. But he also said he considered Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney an "attractive candidate," though he said Romney was "making a mistake in trying to look more conservative than he may be" to gain core conservative support.

Speaking of a potential match up with McCain, Obama said he was under no illusions how a GOP presidential campaign would be run against him.

"War hero against snot-nosed rookie," Obama said.

The first-term Illinois senator said he consulted earlier this week with Mayor Richard Daley on a potential presidential bid, but declined to discuss specifics.

But Obama acknowledged "it was stupid" of him to get involved in the purchase almost one year ago of a strip of property adjoining his $1.65 million home from Antoin "Tony" Rezko, who owned a vacant lot next door. Rezko, a political insider and fundraiser, was indicted in October on charges of trying to extort campaign donations and kickbacks from firms seeking state business. Rezko has pleaded not guilty.

"I am the first one to acknowledge that it was a boneheaded move for me to purchase this 10-foot strip from Rezko, given that he was already under a cloud of concern," Obama said. "I will also acknowledge that from his perspective, he no doubt believed that by buying the piece of property next to me that he would, if not be doing me a favor, it would help strengthen our relationship."

On the same day that Obama and his wife closed on their home, Rezko's wife, Rita, closed on the $625,000 vacant lot next door. Both lots had once been part of the same estate, but the owner listed them as separate parcels.

Obama said he has known Rezko for 20 years and "he had never asked me for anything. I've never done any favors for him."

"There was no sense of betrayal of the public trust here," Obama said.



To: tejek who wrote (254)2/25/2007 2:03:40 PM
From: ChinuSFO  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 149317
 
My comment: Interesting news item. Didn't think Jeb Bush could possibly occupy the White House.
==================================================

In US poll, it's about friends with money
David Nason, New York correspondent
February 26, 2007

ABOUT the only thing missing when Tom Vilsack cried poor and quit the US presidential race last week was the soundtrack from Abba's Money Money Money.
Aha-ahaaa
All the things I could do
If I had a little money
It's a rich man's world
Vilsack, the first significant Democrat candidate to declare for 2008, was always expected to have a funding struggle but few expected such a quick cave-in. The former Iowa governor's bid lasted just 86 days before hitting quicksand.

"It is money and only money that is the reason we are leaving," Vilsack said mournfully at his Friday press conference, but minder Josh Earnest explained it better.

"This is a nomination process on steroids," Earnest said. "It started earlier than anybody expected and it's requiring more money than ever before."

Most pundits agree that candidates will need $US20-30 million by April to have a chance for the nomination. When he quit, Vilsack had pledges for only $US3 million ($3.8 million).

More than anything else, money is what separates the so-called first-tier candidates from the second-tier hopefuls. But as last week's dust-up between Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama over the mega-dollars of Hollywood mogul David Geffen showed, money has also become part of the election mainstream, a public battleground in its own right.

Previously a strong Clinton supporter, Geffen jumped ship by holding a Los Angeles fundraiser for Obama that raised $US1.3 million. At the same time, the billionaire co-founder of Steven Spielberg's DreamWorks unloaded on the Clintons through Maureen Dowd's column in The New York Times, calling Bill "reckless" and Hillary "incredibly polarising" and unelectable.

To ensure he was heard, Geffen said it was "troubling" how easy the Clintons found it to tell lies.

Compelled to respond and spooked by Obama's continuing political momentum and the inroads he's made on fundraising, the Clinton camp decided to attack. They demanded the Illinois senator renounce Geffen and hand back the $US1.3 million.

Obama's office hit back by saying, accurately, that the Clintons never had a problem when Geffen was parking his swag in the Lincoln bedroom at the White House.

To what degree Geffen's switched loyalties are a jealousy-driven response to Bill Clinton now preferring the company and lodgings of playboy supermarket billionaire Ron Burkle when he's in Los Angeles is unclear, but the episode left both Hillary and Obama diminished - she by appearing heavy-handed; he by coming across as a smart alec and reneging on his promise to be a "different" kind of candidate.

It made winners of the other Democrat candidates but of those, only John Edwards can be considered 'first tier'. Two who were safe bets to raise the necessary cash - 2004 presidential nominee John Kerry and former vice-president Al Gore - have decided not to run.

Given that Obama's meteoric rise is sucking up so much money, the likelihood is that only one of the second-tier Democrats - either senator Joe Biden or New Mexico Governor Bill Richardson - will be able to survive into July-August when the campaign will go into overdrive.

The early start to hostilities has been triggered by so many states moving forward their primary races. By the end of February more than half will be done.

On the Republican side, John McCain, Rudy Giuliani and Mitt Romney all have the money to stay in the race until then, but a large pool of so far uncommitted funds awaits the GOP candidate to be anointed by the party's evangelical right wing.

All three of the GOP first-tier candidates present problems for the religious Right - McCain because he's never been forgiven for dismissing evangelical leaders such as Jerry Falwell as "agents of intolerance"; Giuliani because he's too liberal on guns, gays and abortion; and Romney because he's a Mormon.

Who gets the faith endorsement - and the money that goes with it - may well depend on the answer to the biggest question in US politics: what happens if President George W.Bush's surge in Iraq actually works and allows US troops to leave the country in victory instead of defeat?

If it does, Bush's popularity would climb and the evangelical Christians who backed him in 2000 and 2004 with such effect would be remobilised and ready to splurge their money.

The most profound impact would be on the Democrats. Every Democrat presidential candidate has condemned the war and called for the US involvement to end. It means a successful surge strategy would be political disaster on a grand scale.

In such a climate, it's not difficult to imagine the presidential aspirations of Jeb Bush being flushed out, raising the intriguing prospect of another Bush-Clinton contest for the White House.

Should it happen, and should Bush win, it would be interesting to see how history evaluates W's presidency. On face value, a scoresheet that reads victory in Iraq and a handover to little brother would be hard to argue with.

theaustralian.news.com.au