To: Maurice Winn who wrote (12427 ) 12/13/2006 9:01:52 PM From: TobagoJack Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 220082 hmmmmnnn ... recommendation: accumulate gold, and invest in china by proxy, while divest elsewhere de facto, because the trend is your friend David Rothkopf, the author of “Running the World: The Inside Story of the National Security Council and the Architects of American Power”, predicts that the current U.S. war in Iraq will be only the second of many Gulf Wars to come. He writes in The Washington Post: Just as today we look back on extended and episodic conflicts such as the Thirty Years’ War or the Hundred Years’ War, historians may regard today’s clash as only another battle in a much longer war. U.S. actions in this Gulf war have dramatically increased the likelihood of future conflicts. We have inflamed tensions in the Middle East, undercut our regional influence and eroded the nation’s political will to remain actively engaged in this critical part of the world. The forces pulling us back are so strong that it doesn’t matter which party controls Congress or occupies the White House. In fact, given the political shifts that this increasingly unpopular conflict has triggered, it seems quite possible that a Democratic president may be the one compelled to wage the Third Gulf War. The most plausible reason for war-weary United States to enter Gulf War III, according to Rothkopf, would be the ongoing cold war with Iran. Rothkopf quotes a prominent Arab political scientists who says, “The secret most Americans won’t admit is that this most recent war is not about terrorism. It is part of a quarter-century-old geopolitical tug of war with Iran for regional hegemony.” Rothkopf suggests that all three civil wars in the Middle East in Iraq, in Lebanon and in the Palestinian territories “ are proxy wars between Iran and the United States. A third Gulf War probably would not be a Rumsfeldian “shock and awe” affair, Rothkopf concludes. Instead, given the scope and interconnectedness of these threats and the desire to avoid the mistakes made this time around, a Third Gulf War probably would be larger, in terms of troop commitments, than the second.