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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: kris b who wrote (75590)	12/14/2006 5:23:59 AM
From: Mike Johnston	Respond to of 110194

To me it seems more likely that we are at the very early stages of hyperinflation than deflation. Of course i might be wrong. No one has a crystall ball. What do i need to see: 1. Sharp rally in the dollar, to 1.00-1.10 against the euro 2. I need to see the Fed raise rates to 6%-7%. 3. I need to see 10yr yielding 6%. 4. I need to see oil going down to $35 a barrel. 5. I need to see retail sales print -5% one month. 6. I need to see gold coming down to $450 level. 7. I need to see houses changing hands at prices 50% off peak. 8. I need to see a 30% selloff in stocks. 9. I need to see a jobs number printing -300,000 10.I need to see a weekly unemployment claims hit 500,00 11.I need to see massive layoffs among Pig Men. 12.I need Fannie Mae going bust. 13.I need to see the price of gasoline going back down to 1.20 14.I need to see Big 3 reporting 40% drop in sales. Let's come back for another round of discussion when you can show me at least 1(ONE) of the above things happen. -g-