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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Mike Johnston who wrote (76049)12/19/2006 9:42:22 AM
From: andiron  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 110194
 
nada..interest rates are too low..dollar weakness, amongst other things, is telling you that.
Emerging market panic may lead to dollar strengthening, despite deficit. And emerging market (india now thai) were bullied by pigmen? into reversing rules after some sell-off (that doesn't inspire confidence, does it?)
infact, emerging nations should put safeguards or else it will end up in ROUT..
inflation will start showing up more in data....



To: Mike Johnston who wrote (76049)12/19/2006 9:44:36 AM
From: russwinter  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 110194
 
<No way they will hike>

If Thailand is any indication, you now have the exact reverse of the 97-98 Asian crisis: out of control spec flows caused by a weak USD play against Asian currencies. The specs are piling on. For the US to do six coupon passes in three weeks (print even more USD for Riskloves to pile on with), and even more going forward would be the ultimate in fuck the rest of the world arrogance and selfishness. If the US was truly a global player in good standing, they would hike rates today in an emergency session. Instead we will probably get another coupon pass, and tell Thailand to fend for itself.

No uptick in VIX at all. XLF unchanged. Tells you who is behind the attack on the USD in Asia.



To: Mike Johnston who wrote (76049)12/19/2006 12:05:40 PM
From: westpacific  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 110194
 
Mike, PPI shows they are winning.....aka hyperinflation.

That is the plan, in the face of that, DOW could go parabolic.....

Still only see a minor pullback in the DOW. Then up we go.

Hot money all around, this credit bubble is not going to just turn, it is going to take a massive parabolic run first.

Downside on DOW 11900ish at best, not sure we even see that.

West