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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Lizzie Tudor who wrote (76150)12/19/2006 11:33:34 PM
From: Box-By-The-Riviera™  Respond to of 110194
 
you kill me girl. i mean man.



To: Lizzie Tudor who wrote (76150)12/20/2006 3:00:49 AM
From: John Vosilla  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 110194
 
Excellent point. That was mentioned on a financial talk show today. If the DOW doesn't average at least 6% a year in real terms for the rest of this decade then this first decade of the 2000's will be the worst ever in 'real' terms since the DOW was formed. Yes shocking it could be even below the 1930's or the 1970's..



To: Lizzie Tudor who wrote (76150)12/20/2006 6:22:42 AM
From: Mike Johnston  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 110194
 
When you take into account the amount of money that is being printed around the world, this market has been posting very negative real returns for the past few years, anywhere from 20-50% drop depending on which inflation numbers you believe.

You will be lucky to get -1% real return for the next decade in the market, -5% is more likely.

If you take into account the fact that the dollar has lost 50% of its value, the "real" Dow is around 6000 or so and "real" S&P500 is around 700.