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Politics : President Barack Obama -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Tom Clarke who wrote (519)	12/22/2006 6:21:48 PM
From: ChinuSFO	Respond to of 149317

Yes , Europe is going to become a Eurobia.

To: Tom Clarke who wrote (519)	12/23/2006 4:45:45 PM
From: ChinuSFO	Respond to of 149317

Very interesting poll numbers. It may be a Obama-Edwards ticket or vice versa. Hillary, take note. Obama Tied For Lead in Iowa Posted by TOM BEVAN Check out the results of the new Iowa poll, conducted by Research 2000 for KCCI-TV from December 18 through December 20: Democrats John Edwards 22% Barack Obama 22% Tom Vilsack 12% Hillary Clinton 10% Al Gore 7% John Kerry 5% Wesley Clark 4% Dennis Kucinich 4% Joe Biden 1% Evan Bayh 1% Bill Richardson 1% Undecided 11% Republicans John McCain 27% Rudy Giuliani 26% Mitt Romney 9% Newt Gingrich 7% Condi Rice 4% George Pataki 1% Jeb Bush 1% George Allen 1% Sam Brownback 1% Rick Santorum 1% Duncan Hunter 0% Undecided 22% Hypothetical matchups among all survey respondents are as follows: Obama 42, McCain 39 Obama 43, Giuliani 38 Obama 43, Romney 28 Edwards 42, McCain 39 Edwards 42, Giuliani 38 Edwards 41, Romney 29 McCain 43, Clinton 37 McCain 43, Kerry 38 McCain 41, Gore 39 Giuliani 39, Clinton 35 Giuliani 38, Kerry 34 Giuliani 36, Gore 34 Vilsack 41, McCain 35 Vilsack 42, Giuliani 35 Vilsack 45, Romney 28 Clinton 40, Romney 30 Kerry 33, Romney 30 Gore 34, Romney 28 Summarizing these results: Obama, Edwards and Vilsack beat every Republican. Hillary loses to every Republican but Romney. Romney loses to every Democrat. McCain runs slightly better than Giuliani matching up against most of the Dem field. This poll looks like Hillary Clinton's worst nightmare in that it clearly reinforces the biggest knock against her which is that she can't win the general election. time-blog.com

To: Tom Clarke who wrote (519)	12/23/2006 4:54:33 PM
From: ChinuSFO	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 149317

And here is an analysis of the Iowa poll numbers. IOWA: ALL DOWN HILL SHE PLUNGES TO 4TH IN CAUCUS POLL By MAGGIE HABERMAN December 23, 2006 -- Democratic 2008 front-runner Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton has a lot of ground to make up in crucial Iowa, with a new poll showing her in fourth place behind Sen. Barack Obama, John Edwards and the state's governor. And Sen. John McCain leads Rudy Giuliani by one percentage point among Republican caucus voters, the poll showed. The general election matchup numbers are also stark for New York's Clinton in the first-in-the-nation 2008 caucus state, since they show her losing to top-tier Republicans McCain and Giuliani. Edwards, the former North Carolina senator who came in second in the 2004 Iowa caucuses, is tied in first place with rising star Obama, with both snaring 22 percent among Democrats, shows the poll conducted by Iowa-based Research 2000 for KCCI-TV. Coming in third is Iowa Gov. Tom Vilsack, with 12 percent, followed by Clinton, who took just 10 percent of the caucus vote, according to the poll. Former Vice President Al Gore got 7 percent, with everyone else trailing in single digits and 11 percent undecided. The Obama numbers were especially notable. A poll taken in mid-October, before enthusiasm for a campaign by the Illinois senator swept Democrats nationally, showed Clinton coming in second. In that poll - paid for by Environmental Defense and done by a firm that has worked for Obama and Vilsack - Edwards led with 36 percent, Clinton came in second with 16 percent and Obama got 13 percent. The results are an early warning sign for Clinton, who's been making calls and dining with key Iowa Democrats in the last few weeks, but has not set foot in the state in years. Clinton has said she won't make up her mind about a presidential run until after Jan. 1, although insiders believe she'll visit the Hawkeye State early in the year if she goes for it. Iowa caucus voters enjoy up-close contact with candidates every presidential cycle, and are used to having them visit extensively. Edwards is reportedly planning a trip there next week. Obama has taken a hiatus during the holidays and has said he'll indicate in the next few weeks what his plans are. In Iowa's general election matchups, Obama beats McCain, 42 to 39 percent, and Giuliani, 43 to 38. Clinton loses to McCain, 43 to 37, and to Giuliani, 39 to 35. Two recent national polls have shown Clinton in a dead heat with her GOP rivals, which have helped to ease the "electability" issue. Meanwhile, on the Republican side, McCain and Giuliani are virtually tied in Iowa, with the Arizona senator snaring 27 percent of support and Giuliani taking 26 percent. The third-place candidate is Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney, at 9 percent. nypost.com