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Strategies & Market Trends : Greenblatt's Little Book That Beats The Market -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Paul Senior who wrote (123)12/24/2006 9:55:28 PM
From: doug5y  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 218
 
Are you going to keep them? Or sell as the Greenblatt strategy mandates? I've held UST for over 6 years now, since it was $16 or so. Bought it when Michael Burry "picked" it on the value investing thread.

doug5y



To: Paul Senior who wrote (123)12/25/2006 2:26:11 PM
From: Shane M  Respond to of 218
 
Paul, looks like you did well sorting through the options available to you though. I'll take that performance just about any year.

Here's a sample test I setup 2-28-06 on marketocracy. I posted somewhere on the thread what stocks were intended to put in here in a static portfolio and just let it ride. I probably had to deviate a tad due to liquidity in some of the small caps, but should've been pretty close match not counting mergers/buyouts that may have occurred in interim. (Note it's not been a full 12 months yet and these portfolios were trying a different set of tests prior to the 2-28-06 test startdate)

I had a bias to higher ROE and higher Return on total capital stocks in my picks so that could've screwed up the results.

SVA - Mid and Small cap blend test
marketocracy.com


AEOS 76.2%
DECK 64.5%
TNH 48.1%
MVL 48.0%
RNWK 39.9%
POS 24.7%
RCNI 19.2%
ACTS 17.5%
PPD 8.8%
DWA 8.4%
DPZ 7.4%
KSWS 7.3%
XJT 3.8%
RS 0.0%
LSS -3.7%
THO -3.7%
IPS -5.2%
PII -7.6%
TBL -9.3%
ENDP -13.3%
FRO -17.0%
GAP -18.7%
PSUN -18.8%
CECO -19.1%
NX -19.5%
NWY -20.9%
HW -27.4%
TUES -29.3%
ELNK -29.6%
BLG -29.9%


SVB - Large and Medium Cap Blend
marketocracy.com


AEOS 76.2%
MVL 48.0%
UST 45.3%
PCU 34.1%
HOG 31.8%
NUE 27.6%
BTI 18.2%
AZO 17.9%
AZN 16.3%
AVP 15.1%
ACN 10.9%
DWA 8.4%
DPZ 7.4%
MMM 6.2%
ANF 5.2%
FCX 5.1%
LSS -3.7%
THO -3.7%
IPS -5.2%
PII -7.6%
TBL -9.3%
ENDP -13.3%
FRO -17.0%
PSUN -18.8%
NX -19.5%
CECO -24.4%
HW -36.5%
FDG -43.3%


SVC - smaller cap test
marketocracy.com


IIG 167.5%
DECK 64.5%
TNH 48.1%
RNWK 39.9%
POS 24.7%
AMPH 21.6%
RCNI 19.2%
ACTS 17.5%
SVL 14.3%
MTEX 10.1%
UNTD 8.8%
PPD 8.8%
KSWS 7.3%
HFIT 5.6%
XJT 3.8%
RS 0.0%
STLD 0.0%
WLDA -1.9%
AMPX -2.8%
DLX -4.0%
IIN -12.0%
GAP -18.7%
NWY -20.9%
TUES -29.3%
ELNK -29.6%
BLG -29.9%
FORD -53.0%
CESV -98.7%


Overall, nothing particularly appealing to me with the bulk approach used above. I'm doing still considerably better with the growth oriented Buffettology approaches I've been using for about the past 4-5 years.

Shane