Silicon Investor (SI) -- The First Internet Community

STOCKTALK

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor. We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community. If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.

Strategies & Market Trends : Booms, Busts, and Recoveries -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: KyrosL who wrote (68805)	1/4/2007 3:03:26 PM
From: Maurice Winn	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 74559

With everyone alive now dead by 2100 [near enough], we can count who's left. At an average 1.3 per woman and the usual attrition, ignoring any catastrophes, there are only going to be about 3 billion people then. The 1.3 might be a lot lower in a couple of decades as the cultural norm of women having children continues to be abandoned. My theory is that some children from large families like having children around and they are the producers. When everyone is brought up in small families, nobody is brought up with lots of people around in their family, so they aren't brought up thinking it's normal or good. There will be a few eccentrics who choose to do it anyway, but they won't make up for the vast cultural norm of 0, 1 or 2 children, with 0 being increasingly common. Kiwi baby boomers are getting maybe 1 or 2 grand children, but often, if not always, none. I suppose I could get the actual data from statistics.govt.nz That shows rapid growth for NZ which is mostly due to immigration. I'd hate to spoil a good theory with data, so I'll leave it for now. Mqurice