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Biotech / Medical : Sepracor-Looks very promising -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Robohogs who wrote (9901)1/9/2007 1:38:24 AM
From: Robohogs  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 10280
 
My 2007 estimates would probably be

150 125 135 140 for Xop (Q4 down by 25 MM YoY (15%) with 10% growth for other Qs). This equals $550 MM (CSFB is at $556 MM). Would expect guidance of $525-575 MM.

Xop MDI guidance based on runrate of recent weeks could easily move toward $80 MM with growth at 50% QoQ right now, so company guidance likely to be $100-150 MM (CSFB at $125 MM).

So, overall X guidance likely to be $625-$725 MM.

Brovana guidance probably in $25-30 MM range.

Lunesta will likely be cut from analyst views to area of $625-675 MM (CSFB is at $739 MM). CSFB does have a $151 MM increase in Sales and Marketing which I think is extreme so overall EPS could be close to their $2.22 (after stock comp costs of about 35-40 cents) despite a cut of $100 MM in Lunesta.



To: Robohogs who wrote (9901)1/23/2007 12:59:51 AM
From: Robohogs  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 10280
 
CSFB updated numbers to:


OLD New Me
Royalties 9 9 10
Lunesta 161 156 150
Xop Neb 160 165 165
MDI 15 15 15
Total 346 346 340

I think the Lunesta number from CSFB is doable as my point estimate was 153ish million. They are at 0.67 after stock expenses. Jon

PS Looks like about $10 MM came out of 2007 Lunesta but estimates the same.