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Strategies & Market Trends : Predictive Markets -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Ron who wrote (8)1/13/2007 1:38:40 PM
From: ~digs  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 137
 
Greetings Ron. Thanks for stopping by.

As far as I can tell Tradesports.com seems like the preeminent exchange and for our purposes here I expect to cite their data often.

other websites include:
Intrade - Ireland, E.U.
Betfair - UK, E.U.
HedgeStreet - U.S.A. (regulated by CFTC)
UBC Election Stock Market - Canada
BETDAQ - Ireland, E.U.
Cantor SpreadFair - UK, E.U. (regulated by UK's Financial Services Authority)
Poolitics - U.S.A.



To: Ron who wrote (8)1/13/2007 2:13:08 PM
From: ~digs  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 137
 
Tradesports markets trades in the binary 0-100 format. If the event specified in a given contract occurs, the contract settles at 100 points, or $10 per contract or share; otherwise, the contract settles at 0. Thus, the current price of the contract can be imputed as the probability that the specified event will occur. en.wikipedia.org