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Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Moominoid who wrote (13671)	1/21/2007 11:32:33 AM
From: GoldBull no bug here	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 217574

Mo - thanks, a good read - where is Marty now? I did a quick search, but didn't see anything current.

To: Moominoid who wrote (13671)	1/22/2007 3:18:22 AM
From: TobagoJack	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 217574

nowandfutures.com interim pre-teotwawki dawn's twilight, perhaps :0) the fact that the guy went to jail is simply not relevant ;0)

To: Moominoid who wrote (13671)	1/22/2007 2:34:55 PM
From: Gib Bogle	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 217574

He talks of "probability in the billions", apparently unaware that probabilities are always less than or equal to one.

To: Moominoid who wrote (13671)	1/22/2007 9:51:26 PM
From: elmatador	Respond to of 217574

End of a cycle and capital spreading more evenly: Capital spreading more evenly means less capital at the center more capital at the periphery. As capital move towards the periphery, I quickly deplete the reserves of the center. That’s no good for the central economies. The reaction for that is to decrease the attractiveness of the periphery for capital and increase the attractiveness of the central countries for capital to stay put. In the past with high costs and speed of telecoms and lower education in the periphery, it was easy to keep capital in. Today the periphery is more visible and it is easy to spot the attractiveness of the peripheral countries. Only MQ believes that a cop in every corner and no cigarettes butts on the side walk is a condition since qua non for economic progress. As a result it became harder to keep the capital in and that why now it is spreading more evenly at a faster pace. But there is another possibility for one country to keep capital in: Obvious reaction is to increase productivity. The more productive the center becomes, the less the attractive the periphery is perceived for capital. So a country with a better banking system, less corrupt officials, more transparent laws, less protection for the friends of the government, more educated work force… Such country is obviously more attractive to capital. But note that such ‘goodies’ come at a price. The costs of keeping all the apparatus that makes a country attractive make sit also expensive. The beautiful lady doesn’t seek a rich man. She NEEDS a rich man to keep herself beautiful. That country needs a lot of capital to keep itself attractive to capital. That because the educated work force doesn’t work for peanuts, the corporate lawyers charge real money, the most bright are sought with higher salaries and better conditions of work, the productive work force has leverage to get lower working hours… Capital now, has the dilemma: should I stay with this less risk and earn little in this Mauricean country or seek, one of these God Forsaken countries where Elmat make his money and make a little more? Capital starts to venture out and the capitalist system starts smarting up on ways to make money despite the risks. After a couple of decades, capital discovers that beyond the smoke screen that shrouds those countries where the taxi drivers cheat you, you can offset that cost of the cheating taxis against the cheaper beer at happy hour. In your country of origin, taxis are honest but beer at happy hour beer costs more. So you are even. (I decided to pay the taxis more money so that I don’t feel cheated). The end of the cycle look to capital spreading more evenly and remember: down in the cycle for one, means up the cycle for others: teotwawki for one is tbotb (The Beginning Of The Bonanza) for others. Next we will look to the case of: “China is a creation of capital spreading more evenly”.