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To: Mario :-) who wrote (31546)2/1/2007 3:16:56 PM
From: koan  Respond to of 78426
 
Mario, intrinsic value is simply the amount of money the wt is in the money e.g. RNG wts. If the stock is $6 the wts will have $1 in intrinsic value as the strike is $5.



To: Mario :-) who wrote (31546)2/1/2007 3:59:18 PM
From: tyc:>  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 78426
 
Intrinsic value is easy ! A warrant gives you the right to buy a stock at a certain price: "the strike price". Its intrinsic value is simply the difference between that strike price and the higher current market price of the stock.

The strike price of NGX warrants is $5, so right now the warrant has NO intrinsic value. However, if the stock goes to $7, the intrinsic value of the warrant will be (7-5=) $2.

I presume your assessment that EPM warrants are "very overvalued" is taken from some sheet. However this sheet probably just compares the "implied volatility" of the current warrant price with the "historic volatility" displayed by stock in the past month. If the "implied volatility" is higher than the historic volatility of the stock, the writer says it is "over valued". But perhaps the market knows best !

I keep track of the EPM wt that has a strike price of $1.55 expiring 2010. With the stock trading today at .94c, if the stock doubles to $1.88, the warrant will have an intrinsic value of .33c. Using my measuring system there is no leverage and the warrant is therefore unattractive to me at present. That is not to say that the stock is unattractive. I shall continue to keep it in my sights. The market knows best !