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Strategies & Market Trends : The Residential Real Estate Crash Index -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Lizzie Tudor who wrote (71944)	2/12/2007 12:03:32 AM
From: jimmg	Respond to of 306849

<<Please don't choose arbitrary time periods to make your point about a bull or bear market>> Are you talking to yourself or me? Here's what your last post said: "DOW 5 years ago: 10607 DOW friday: 12580 ANNUALIZED RETURN: 3.7% over a 5 year period. Nasdaq 5 years ago: 1929 Nasdaq friday: 2459 ANNUALIZED RETURN: 5% over a 5 year period." Not only are you cherry picking timeframes, but you've chosen the most misrepresentative indices for that 5 year period. The Dow is a price weighted index of 30 stocks and the Nasdaq is bloated with tech heavy bubbles. <<Use standard periods like 1-yr, 5-yr or 10-yr>> I already showed you 1 year returns. $100 invested 4 years ago in the Russell 2000 is roughly $215 today. You don't get those returns in a secular bear market. Here are the annualized returns for the Vanguard Total Stock Market Index fund (roughly the Wilshire 5000), without dividends: 1 yr 15.6% 3 yr 10.9% 5 yr 8.8% 10 yr. 8.2% Add another 2% per year at minimum for dividends. Secular bear market? Obviously not.