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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Elroy who wrote (217840)2/12/2007 1:37:17 AM
From: Dayuhan  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 281500
 
Nope. But like I said, I can't imagine a domestic revolution when oil is $60 per barrel. The revenue stream of the country doubled in the past few years, that's not a recipe for revolution.

Actually it is that sort of recipe. Iran has an enormous population bulge in the 15-to-30 bracket. Capital is fleeing as fast as it can go, and the 80% state-owned economy isn't producing new jobs. By some estimates up to 50% of those under 35 are jobless. Clumsy efforts to pump oil money into the economy produced nothing but inflation: it's running 20% plus a year, rents at 30%.

What do you do when you have no work, prices are soaring, and your President - who campaigned on promises to fix the economy - is yapping about Zionists and Imperialists.

You might just throw a rock.

It's worth reading up on the state of Iran's economy. No amount of oil money can compensate for bad enough management. Ask a Nigerian, or a Venezuelan...