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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: epicure who wrote (219512)	2/19/2007 1:00:40 PM
From: Win Smith	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 281500

I think you and JCP are getting a little off on timeframes here. What Elroy originally posted was: Then why didn't [Saddam} take the UAE's offer of exile immediately prior to the 2nd Iraq war? With troops massed at the border at that point, I think Saddam knew pretty well what was coming, along with everybody else. But even paranoids have enemies, and I imagine he didn't really trust the offer. Instead, he went off trying to make contact with Richard Perle. Which was at least a fairly direct approach to the problem, but given the way diplomatic contacts work in W's world even now, his last gasp efforts at war avoidance were no doubt doomed from the start. I wouldn't hazard a guess as to what would have happened if he had chosen exile; the existing power structure certainly could have held Iraq together, but would W and fandom have accepted that? If only Saddam left, it maybe wouldn't have counted as "regime change", but who can say?