SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Politics : PRESIDENT GEORGE W. BUSH -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: jlallen who wrote (759883)2/28/2007 4:47:28 PM
From: DuckTapeSunroof  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 769670
 
"Housing starts... I think that spring could bring good news in that sector."

Think you are probably *early* for that hope:

Residential construction industry is suffering its steepest annual sales drop in 16 years. Investment in residential construction – also know as homebuilding – is plummeting, as is the growth of personal spending. (Home equity represents more than half of household net worth – and close to 75% of middle class household net worth.)

Freddie Mac tightening lending requirements... (doesn't want to buy anymore sub-prime loans that may go bust).

The slump in housing deepened during the final three months of last year with sales falling in 40 out of 50 states.

21 mortgage lenders have now gone kaput since about December 2006... See the 'Mortgage Lender Implode-O-Meter':

ml-implode.com

Wall Street balking at extending credit to lenders....

Financial Times reported that housing starts in January fell to their lowest level in 10 years. Work on houses dropped 14% in the month. (Bad weather was likely a factor, too....)

According to Freddie Mac, U.S. house prices have climbed 6.2% a year over the past 30 years. (Most homeowners didn’t actually net this much, however. To calculate bottom-line profits, you’d have to deduct property taxes, homeowners insurance, maintenance costs, and mortgage interest.)

Latest numbers (median sales) showed that --- for the first time in decades --- house values actually declined last year... to the tune of approximately -1.4%, if memory serves.

I would *wait awhile* before accepting at face value the spin from the housing industry's PR flacks that 'the bottom is in'....



To: jlallen who wrote (759883)3/1/2007 7:25:42 AM
From: JDN  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 769670
 
Here in S. Fla. the headlines yesterday was that home prices were again EDGING UP, however there is a growing inventory of unsold homes. jdn