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Strategies & Market Trends : Waiting for the big Kahuna -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Bid Buster who wrote (74860)	3/9/2007 10:58:40 AM
From: Real Man	Respond to of 94695

Sure not, but I'm not betting the other way either, just trying to stay away from the micromanaged markets. We'll see. A few lucky bears might get paid after all -g-

To: Bid Buster who wrote (74860)	3/9/2007 2:37:41 PM
From: Real Man	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 94695

I think we might just have a painful, deflationary ride down in all asset classes this year, including gold, the main reason being credit defaults. As overpriced as they are, LT treasury bonds will likely benefit from it. Spreads will skyrocket, though, and so will VIX. But we'll have to see - the Fed does have the printing press, and a lot of market variables are sure determined by their policies and direct manipulation. They will use it, as they have been, although it may prove to be not that useful at first - the amount printed will need to be sharply higher. Later on, gold will be on fire. I think this world may have forgotten all about deflation in the past 4 years or so. Now, that will cause a big rally now, for sure -ggg-