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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: bart13 who wrote (79914)3/12/2007 5:47:08 PM
From: Real Man  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 110194
 
The origin of the large drop? As many puts are shorted with
low volativity by about 300 billion leveraged hedge fund money,
who simply follow LTCM-like strategy of delta-hedging, in
the event of a sharp drop, computer models require hedging
by selling futures. No, "they" will never let it drop, or
take it down, because they will go down with the ship.
It's just subprime that is a total disaster now, and
it's tied to a lot of credit derivatives. I guess that gets
some folks a little nervous. Who will be the first rat
running to the exit?

The subprime is a very serious issue, especially if it
spreads, which it's doing now. All that loan portfolios on
which credit derivatives pyramid is resting is rapidly
defaulting. That's life, and credit bubble popping (hear the sound?), not the Fed.

I think the Fed may be a bit concerned about the dollar.
They may run out of options soon.



To: bart13 who wrote (79914)3/12/2007 6:06:59 PM
From: Real Man  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 110194
 
A review of what's going on - mentions shorting stock
volativity. The total capital for the hedge funds now doing
what LTCM did is about 300B. The strategy produced 40%
returns every year in recent 5 years

"picking up pennies in front of a steamroller" -g-
That 1 min drop was the steamroller. Didn't quite get
them this time, but it's gonna, that's for sure -g-

en.wikipedia.org