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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Tommaso who wrote (79953)3/13/2007 11:12:48 AM
From: Jim McMannis  Respond to of 110194
 
Tommaso,
RE:"I am sure you have read how there are new "homeowners" who have failed to make the first payment due on their mortgages."

In what period of time? Got a link on that one?



To: Tommaso who wrote (79953)3/13/2007 11:21:18 AM
From: Real Man  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 110194
 
Yep. I forgot the term for those mortgages. Rates are resetting,
and credit conditions in the mortgage market are tightening,
so I expect a large derivative blow-up very soon. The stock
market is just waking up to all these problems. The mortgage
market has been the main force behind the post-911 recovery.
So, it sure looks like it's over now. On top of that, as
the credit crunch cascades through the system, they have
no more bullets left - the budget deficit is already extremely
high, so they can't do more tax cuts and increase government
spending. If they cut rates more, the carry trade will blow up.
Looks like checkmate for the Fed. One thing is sure - they
will try to print to save the system. So, if gold does go
down due to decreased liquidity, it's a buying opportunity.



To: Tommaso who wrote (79953)3/13/2007 12:55:32 PM
From: Oblomov  Respond to of 110194
 
It is suspected that a high % of such mortgages were fraudulent. This is why NEW and others are under criminal investigation- a suspicion of racketeering.



To: Tommaso who wrote (79953)3/13/2007 1:16:46 PM
From: Logain Ablar  Respond to of 110194
 
Negative amortization in earnings and Special Purpose Entities, the auditors will be in trouble as well. I would't be surprised to see similarities with enron in the lending / housing mess just starting to unfold.