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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: John Vosilla who wrote (79954)3/14/2007 11:36:44 AM
From: bart13  Respond to of 110194
 

Many forget this is just starting. We have had few if any financial institutions failing for over a decade. This was the norm from 1986-93.. The initial implosion began as far back as 1982 even as the DOW began a historic run with the economy recovering from the 80-81 recession and the ravages of stagflation.. A huge difference this time is interest rates are at generational lows which is the complete opposite of the early 80's..


My original comment was intended to cover the long term, as in 3-10+ years. Amen on rates, although there is a small parallel to the '70s if one averages bill and bond rates.

How big the bounce will be in May/June will be a good guide for me for the following few months until th end of '07... we pays our money and we takes our chances...