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To: The Freep who wrote (142380)3/15/2007 1:56:50 PM
From: Moominoid  Respond to of 209892
 
One of my indicators looks up to 4 days ahead and the others just one day ahead. There is a signal and noise but the noise drives the future of the signal too :) So big shocks change the direction of the stochs but they can also change direction due to their own inherent dynamics. Of course I can't predict the shocks. So my forecasts are contingent on there only be small shocks and they are revised when a big unexpected shock arrives.