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Technology Stocks : Advanced Micro Devices - Moderated (AMD) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: niceguy767 who wrote (228328)3/17/2007 5:35:23 PM
From: Dan3Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 275872
 
Re: in retrospect, it looks like AMD paid about 2X what ATI was worth.

I begged them not to do it. (here, on this thread)

What I'm getting at is that the idea of floating a $2.5B offering of $14 common shares just doesn't fly for me given the current state of financial hardship at AMD.

That's why I posted a price of $10 earlier. But even $14 might work. There's a ton of liquidity looking for a home right now. It had been going into CDO/CMO securitized mortgages but that blew up in the last two weeks. An amply funded AMD priced at $10B would look like a steal compared to $110B Intel. A $2.5 billion cash injection (plus existing financing and cash flow) fully funds the New York fab and the Dresden 45nm conversion.

Compared to imploding mortgage bonds, it looks like a "safe as houses" investment with a decent chance of a big return.

Jeez. I've been safely out of AMD since the ATI buy, now you've got me considering buying back in before it drops below $8. Maybe it won't drop below $8. Or even $10. What would AMD be worth after a $2.5B cash injection traded for a 1/3 increase in the float?

Some people bought in below $5 during the last crash - that might be worth waiting for. The overall market is probably going to be crashing for a while as it pukes up all the bad loans of the past couple of years.