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Strategies & Market Trends : World Outlook -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Les H who wrote (8002)	3/26/2007 1:02:18 PM
From: Les H	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 48792

I will be asked tomorrow "The Week at War" (CNN-taped) if I thought it was possible as yet to judge if the Kagan/Keene plan that Petraeus is implementing to secure large parts of Baghdad is going to work. This police station bombing, others like it and events such as; the well timed rocket attack on the Green Zone during the UN visit, and the attempt on the life of the Sunni deputy PM, are early indicators that the insurgents are regaining their "balance," and are trying to recapture the initiative from the Iraqi-American forces arrayed against them. The coalition is now engaged in what can only be thought to be a "maximum effort" within the restraints of what is politically possible. This is our best shot. the Shia militia "armies" of the Sadrists, SCIRI and Da'wa are all standing back to watch and see what the outcome of that "maximum effort might be." They are waiting to see and to judge how close they are to a time in which they will have to make their own "maximum effort" to attempt to control what will be called Iraq in the future. The early "portents" are unfavorable. There is every reason to think that the insurgents will try to expand their offensive activities to include the many little posts that we are building all over Baghdad. Be very careful gentlemen, very careful. pl turcopolier.typepad.com