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To: neolib who wrote (35796)3/27/2007 1:00:52 AM
From: Cogito  Respond to of 541955
 
>>At a bare minimum, would you not want to convert the "3% of the mortgages in the US" into a figure that reflects the fraction of US mortgage $ they represent? Clearly way more than 3% of recent mortgages are sub-prime, and recent mortgages have two interesting points: 1) They are surely the largest, since %down is low and home prices are high and 2) they are just starting, as opposed to say being nearly finished.<<

Neolib -

Good point. I don't know whether that 3% figure was expressing a percentage of the loans outstanding as a dollar figure or not.

Another thing to consider is that not all sub-prime loans are going to end in default. And of course, some percentage of prime loans will.

Where does this leave us? That's the trillion dollar question.

- Allen